Thursday, October 30, 2008
EU Successful on Economic Front; Not so much with Foreign Policy
In contrast, foreign and security policy is an area that is much less developed than economic policy. As mentioned in lecture, the coordination of foreign policy has been difficult. Because the EU is not a state, citizens are first and foremost concerned with their national security than with security policy of Europe as a whole. And rightly so- citizens are loyal to the country in which they live, whose taxes they pay, and whose language they speak. The EU has a harder time defining and enforcing its own security interests.
As Brendan said, only time can tell if Europeans will identify themselves first as Europeans. If the institution of the EU can help promote European unity beyond the fiscal realm, perhaps coordinated foreign and security policy is not far behind.
The United Kingdom and the European Union: Natural Allies (Tony Wright: British Politics)
The Great Nation of Europe
As we have discussed, there is an increasing tendency, rather, urge, for Europeans to distinctly identify themselves as European, rather than, say, just French or German. However, we have also pointed out that the layers of primary identities are ambiguous for some Europeans, in that their
There is a strong case that nationalism will prevent the greater union of
Time will only tell if Europeans can put their identities first as Europeans, then as French, German, Italian, et. al, or if they will continue to harbor such apparent national ties which are not easy to break. Indeed, Postwar illustrates the need that Europeans felt to construct an institution which would facilitate the relationships that had for so long been lacking in European culture. These relationships, one would hope, can mitigate the nationalistic pride that countries face in
The EU: Is It Really Possible?
To me, the European Union is an economic (and increasingly political) powerhouse born of curious contradictions. Even historically, during times when Europe has been seen as economically strong, the respective set-ups can been seen as bipolar; Europe has moved from operating on a purely competitive landscape to one whose cooperative nature is unprecedented in the region. On one hand—between the 1500’s and 1700’s, before the advent of modern, classical free trade philosophy—the European nations were mercantilist in nature, engaging in adversarial trade marked by protectionist policies and the paramount goal of increasing the home country’s bullion by limiting imports and encouraging exports, promoting the creation of colonial empires. During this time, the political landscape was mottled with conflicts and wars, fueled by this economic strategy.
The landscape now, however, seems to have cleared itself of these blemishes, for the most part at least. The creation of the European Coal and Steel Community in 1952 was the start of this new cooperative mindset, to which France, Italy, West Germany, and the Benelux countries were all a part. This new supranational community bolstered Europe’s post-war economic potential by integrating the said countries steel and coal industries, thus creating a common market. Further integration followed, with the merging of different communities and institutions, culminating in the formation of the European Union in 1993 with the ratification of the Treaty of Maastricht. Now, the EU boasts 27 members, as opposed to its original six; in fact, even the EU website is available in 23 languages. The EU has its own President, Parliament, court system, monetary unit, etc., acting, in a way, like a nation-state of its own.
As impressive as this is, I cannot help but smile at the fact that the nations of Europe, on the whole very proud nations, are willing to foster a common market with increased political integration for the sake of saving themselves. It is no surprise that cultural clashes can flare up from time to time; is it really possible for many older Frenchmen not to sneer at the sight of an Audi and for many older Germans to rush to see the next French film? I think it’s unlikely. Furthermore, the EU is not as fully integrated as it might like to portray. We all know that the UK is the anomaly of the group, as the nation that not only refuses to accept the Euro as its mode of currency, but also is not even a geographical part of continental Europe; however, it holds a great deal of sway in terms of influence and legislation. According to Tony Wright in his work British Politics: A Very Short Introduction, the UK is not even on the same page as the EU in terms of legislative and electoral process, with the UK exhibiting “winner takes-all adversarialism” and the EU exhibiting “consensus-seeking and coalition-building” behavior; “in this respect British politics is still stubbornly un-European” (Wright, 102).
I suppose that the EU can teach us something: in times of trouble, band together or die. In choosing cooperation over competition, Europe has gone from being a continent of warring nations to a regional bloc of increasingly strong economic forces, despite the fact that this amalgamation may be intrinsically unnatural to the nations involved. And though it’s quaint to this that everyone considers himself “European,” instead of “French” or “German,” I guarantee you there will be no consensus on whether escargots or sauerkraut is the better, more “European” dish.
Response to British Politics
“Was Tony Blair’s premiership good for the United Kingdom? Why?” (Compare to Margaret Thatcher)
Tony Blair became the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in May of 1997. Not only is Blair the Labour Party's longest serving prime minister, he is also the only politician to have led the Labour Party to three consecutive general election victories. His widespread popularity for such an extended period of time, clearly points to a positive premiership. Ignoring the Iraq war fiasco in which he managed to tarnish Great Britain’s image, Blair’s premiership was good for the United Kingdom.
Thatcher had been more of an isolationist when it can to dealing with the realm of international affairs; she leaned towards an transatlantic relationship with America and was Euroskeptic. Tony Blair, on the other hand, brought Great Britain back to the for-front of the international community, specifically in his role in the War on Terror in 2001 and the invasions of Afghanistan in 2001 and Iraq in 2003. However, in taking a tough stance against terrorism just as the President George W. Bush did, Blair came out looking like a lackey, dubbed “Bush’s poodle.”
Blair furthered this dependent image when he committed British troops to the war in Iraq. Although Blair believed he would be able to serve as a mediating factor to calm down America’s war-mongering attitudes, he was unable to do so. Instead of appearing as the international problem solver, instead Blair ended up making Britain look like a spin-less minion of the United States.
Despite what many see as his failings in the international realm, Tony Blair was able to solve numerous domestic problems. First of all, Blair reestablished and reinvented the socialist Labour party into a modern third-way Labour. The term "New Labour" was used to distinguish his pro-market policies from the more socialist, collectivist policies which the Labour party had previously supported. In creating the “Third Way,” he was able to blur the party line from British political culture. When Thatcher was in power, the “Iron Lady” stuck fast to her ideologies, even when a majority of the country was against her. Although Thatcher was more efficient in accomplishing her goals, Blair was able to move Britain away from being driven by ideologies and to better unite the country because he worked with a consensus of politicians agreeing with him at all times.
In domestic government policy, Tony Blair has been key to producing social reforms and reforming the economy. Blair introduced constitutional reform such as devolution in Wales and Scotland, a minimum wage, and tuition fees for higher education. Blair has also significantly increased public spending on the National Health System and on education and introduced market-based reforms in these two areas. The British economy has performed well under his leadership, and Blair has respected Conservative commitments not to raise income tax.
Thatcher had largely ignored the pleas for separation by dissident states. Tony Blair, on the other hand, has given much attention to compromising with these states. His contribution towards negotiating the Good Friday Agreement and assisting the Northern Ireland Peace Process after thirty years of conflict is widely recognized and favorably looked upon.
If Tony Blair’s policies on the international level are ignored, Blair’s premiership was essentially good for the domestic policies of the United Kingdom.
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Is Europe a Federation?
Postwar, like many other analyses, attributes the origins of the EU to the European political elite's reluctant recognition, in the aftermath of two world wars, of the need to construct an intracontinental bullwark, in which member-nations would share a stake, binding them to common interests and muting the mechanisms of escalation which previously precipitated military conflict. Indeed, it was to this end that France and Germany - formerly the epicenter of continental wars - became the economic axis of the European Coal and Steel Community. In this respect, which we may call conflict-avoidance, European integration has been remarkably successful, evolving to the point where the outbreak of war between members is not just unlikely, but unthinkable. This has allowed the EU to take on, in addition to its preventionary role, one of mitigation, intervening in crises on its borders with multinational peacekeeping forces.
In many other areas - most notably economics, where the development of a single-market and advent of the Euro have created the largest economy in the world (in terms of nominal GDP) - European integration and its end-product, the EU, have proved a massive success; but, while many elites continue to press for the "final evolution" of the body into a federation, it would be inaccurate to label it as such today. The hallmarks of every federation - from the United States, to Russia, to the Empire's shadowy precursor in George Lucas' "Star Wars" - include strong (if not necessarily dominant) central government, clear delineation and distribution of powers, and the development of common and cohesive policy on important international questions. Simply put, member states of a federation must be willing to act for its good, not merely in parallel insofar as it suits their own interests.
Recent and ongoing events illustrate this. Efforts at developing a Common Defense Policy have failed, unable to overcome popular desire to retain national sovereignty. The hollowness of the Union's efforts at a Common Foreign Policy was exposed, in only the latest incident, by the cacophony of disparate reactions to Russia's invasion of Georgia. And perhaps most importantly, the successive rejections of both the European Constitution and the Treaty of Lisbon, by popular referenda, demonstrated that Europeans themselves are loathe to relinquish their Westphalian conception of nationhood - much to the annoyance and embarrasment of the European political elite.
Despite this, one would be hard-pressed to argue that Europe is not closer to federation than it was in the immediate aftermath of WWII which forms the context for Postwar. The gradual process by which the European Coal and Steel Community, European Economic Community, European Community, and others led to the contemporary European Union is by no means over, and much evidence exists to suggest it is proceeding with more momentum than before as attitudes, perceptions, and world affairs develop. For the time-being, it may be wise to categorize Europe as a confederation - membership is voluntary, most supranational action is subject to ratification or review by the states in which it is applied, and those states retain a large amount of power independent of, and vis-a-vis to, the EU itself. Nevertheless, as T.R. Reid posits in "The United States of Europe," this modern Europe is becoming increasingly powerful in all aspects of world affairs - regardless of the labels or classifications we seek to attach to it.
A Different Perspective on Postwar European History
It is very interesting to read Judt’s Postwar because he provides a great picture of what was happening on the ground immediately following the German surrender in May 1945. In the various classes on world and European history I have taken, the main things we learn about what was going on in Europe immediately following World War II were the implementation of the Marshall Plan and the Berlin Airlift, basically two instances of American money and power staving off misery in Europe. But we never learned much about what happened to the Jews and minority populations immediately following the war.
After the war, hundreds of thousands of people across Europe were relocated for various reasons, and the ultimate end was to create a “tidier Europe.” Judt points out that “at the conclusion of the First World War it was borders that were invented and adjusted, while people were on the whole left in place. After 1945 what happened was rather the opposite…boundaries were left intact and people were moved instead” (27). Especially interesting were the movements of German-speaking populations themselves. The German population in Czechoslovakia, for example, was forcibly expelled to Germany from the Sudetenland. B y 1950, the German population in Bohemia and Moravia had been reduced from approximately 29 percent to 1.8 percent (26). Other nations to export their German-speaking communities en masse included Poland, Hungary, Yugoslavia, and many lands in what was formerly the eastern portion of Germany itself. One of Hitler’s most important objectives in beginning World War II was to unify all Europe’s German diasporas in one German empire. With the consolidation of the German population in the borders of Germany, no German leader would have reason to pursue expansionist policies in order to unify the German people again.
Particularly difficult to repatriate were the surviving members of Europe’s Jewish population. They were unwanted in both Eastern and Western Europe, and many of them remained in Germany for years following the war for lack of anywhere else to go. This large Jewish population, essentially existing in a stateless limbo, was only able to find a permanent home with the creation of Israel in 1948. A massive number of Jews emigrated to Israel, a population measuring about 332,000 (32).
The reason for the relative peace that existed between the nations of postwar Western Europe and, after 1989, between all the nations of Europe that was always given was the economic integration effort of France and Germany as well as the generous American aid in the form of the Marshall Plan. However, Judt seems to suggest that another less known reason for the avoidance of another war in Europe is its new “tidiness” and ethnic homogeneity. We are beginning to see increased domestic problems in Western European nations now that there is a large influx of immigrants from places like North Africa and the Middle East, disrupting Europe’s homogeneity. Europe’s age-old difficulties dealing with minority populations came to a head in World War II, and seem to be beginning to resurface. It will be interesting to see if the proportional representation electoral system will continue to keep the peace in Europe as it becomes increasingly genuinely heterogeneous again.
Post War and the EU
One of the most interesting topics for me in the book was the creation of the EU and the emerging European culture. The European Union was mainly established to allow the movement and better circulation of goods between European countries. The creators of the EU saw it as a way to move the continent forward economically and promote efficiency. Next The EU was also established to create a European identity and implant certain institutions for things like health care and employment, implementing a sort of European parliament and common currency. The guidelines for the early Union were laid in the treaties of Maastricht and Amsterdam. However, due to a lack of central leadership and control, the EU faced several problems. There were serious budget problems as many countries in the union took more than they gave in the form of farm subsides and other economic assistance. Also some members lagged behind in bringing their countries' standards up to those of the European ones
and the common currency that had been created was affecting some countries negatively. The EU attempted to deal with these problems with the Treaty of Rome in 2004. This treaty gave clearer instructions for the European standards to be established and created a constitution, making the implementing of institutions and general role of the EU government more clearly defined. The Treaty of Rome also lessened the national role in the EU government, strengthening the EU overall.
After all this, I believe that the European Union does constitute some type of federation. This union is trying to establish what it means to be European in a sense by bringing all of the different European countries under some similar institutions. However, even with its common currency and EU parliament, I do not believe that the union can be called a complete federation. Judt speaks to the fact that many people, even in Europe, are still unclear on exactly what the EU is and what it does. This system, he says, has not done a good enough job on educating its members as to what it means to be part of the EU and the full powers of the union. Next, the EU has no real established foreign policy or laws for wars between member countries. There still seems to be a emphasis on the economic policy rather than real political policies. I do not think you can call the EU a full federation as they have not established a central European identity or a common way of thinking yet and do not really have political control over the countries of Europe. Judt also mentions this as he says the culture of Europe is slowly beginning to emerge in his conclusion. Here he uses art and sports to try to show how Europe is coming together more and more. With art, he claims that many countries are beginning to see the importance of high culture and many are lending more government money to support it. Next, he says that sports like football, an important cultural event, reach across countries as players are brought in from all over the world. I agree that Europe is beginning to show more of a European identity, but there is still an overall emphasis on the individual countries themselves, not Europe as a whole. Each country retains its own kind of art, its own national sport and its national language. Although it is beginning to show now, I believe that once this European identity gets stronger the EU will move to being more of a federation and less emphasis will be placed on the country individually and more on Europe collectively, which will create more of a political power for the EU. For now the EU cannot be considered a complete federation as it lacks the power to create important polices for all of its members and the fact that people still see themselves as European second to the country they come from.
Postwar: Emergence of the Welfare State
Although Judt does acknowledge the existence of at least basic welfare systems present in Europe before WWII, he focuses on the growth of the more comprehensive, far-reaching systems created directly after the War. For Judt the vast destruction and instability of WWII created a cynicism and hopelessness and the need for the protection of ones livelihood through unemployment insurance and the inclusion of the middle class into social aid programs helped alleviate some of that stress.
In contrast, the Alesina article places much blame on the inherent racism and the American perception of the poor as lazy as to why the middle class have distrusted and opposed a revision of the welfare system. In addition to this claim being completely unsupported by any evidence (it is tacked on at the end and explained away by the statement “we do not know what explains these differences in beliefs”) it is contradictory to the conclusions of Judt. Though Judt acknowledges that it was easier to achieve these types of system in more homogenous countries (he gives the example of Sweden) than states like Italy, the fundamental desire to see the state as a source of relief and “agent of welfare” overrode such concerns.
It seems Judt has the stronger argument here for to say that European countries didn’t face the same racial prejudices as the United States would be ludicrous; the violent discrimination of Hitler’s regime clearly discounts this theory. Further, many of the groups targeted for discriminated by the Nazis (for example the Gypsies) fell into the lower economic classes and so the existence of strong social programs in Germany contradicts Alesina’s assessment.
However, some parts of both authors’ arguments do overlap. Alesina does focus on major differences in the ways individuals viewed the state due to differing historical realities in both regions. This point agrees with Judt’s assessment of the post-war state as trying to uphold citizens’ needs for an “agent of welfare, security and fairness” after a time of great upheaval. This is not to discount the United States’ role in the war effort, however, the physical destruction and proximity to major battlefields was unknown in America. Thus, though the loss of lives was great, the United States’ government did not face the same embattled citizenry who lived through six years of devastating war like the governments of Western Europe. The social pressure and need for relief did not exist in the same way in post-war America.
It would be foolish to blame the differences in the welfare systems of Western Europe and the United States on racism and discrimination as Alesina does. These concepts exist everywhere in the world and the historical differences and experiences of each region are far more compelling explanations.
Friday, October 17, 2008
Amending Classification of Regime Types
One of the most interesting ideas I came away with after reading the articles and listening to the lectures is how regime types are analyzed. As described in the Linz and Stepan article "Modern Nondemocratic Regimes", there have been three traditional categories in contemporary studies--democratic, authoritarian, and totalitarian. The argument for the existence of all three was strong enough to warrant acceptance, but I was interested in figuring out how countries identified themselves as compared to how the international community identified them.
Thus, using the online United Nations database, I was able to figure out that there are only a handful of nations on the planet who do not identify themselves as democracies of some sort. Two of the major examples were Saudi Arabia and Thailand, which are, by no stretch of the imagination, non-democratic regimes. However, it was interesting to see the states that self-identified as democracies when most in the West would not consider them anywhere close to a true democracy. Iran was a specific example that was highlighted, as it is a nation notorious for consolidation of power around one person, the Ayatollah. Of course, Iran does have a parliament that is elected, but this system of “democracy” is nowhere near what democratic purists would consider acceptable. In fact, many argue that Iran is actually on the opposite end of the spectrum and is in its bare essence, a totalitarian regime. Yet because of the Iranian self-identification as a democracy, the international community’s collective stance is that the people have freedoms there. For reasons which are clear, Iran is not a true democracy that nations should strive to achieve. It is a nation that simple self-identifies as such so as not to draw criticisms from the international community like other self-identified nondemocratic regimes do.
Moving away from the Iran example, there are other nations on the lists of democracies that do not seem to be completely democratic. The addition of China on the list of democracies is puzzling to some because of the power of the Communist Party in ruling the state. However, one can argue that the classification of China as a totalitarian state is also erroneous. Thus China is the perfect example of an authoritarian nation which could be considered in the middle of the spectrum, though I would argue closer to totalitarianism rather than democracy. In addition to China, there are dozens of other examples of nations who self-identify as democratic, yet are not considered democratic by many of the nations that have longstanding and stable democracies. Thus, the problem of identification of regime types becomes apparent.
It would be nice to believe that the ultimate goal for every nation is to become liberalized and thus more democratic. In contemporary history, democracy has been viewed as the best kind of regime and government system because it puts power in the hands of the individual citizenry (at least in definition). Thus the criteria for measuring a free society—freedom of speech, freedom of religion, individual rights, and regular elections—should be used to rate how every nation is classified. If the current system employed by the United Nations is not amended, it is highly likely that progress towards liberalization and democratization will be slowed. Similarly to how there are weapons inspectors, there should be democracy inspectors. These people would travel throughout the country being analyzed and see whether or not democratic reforms are being put in place and how if they are effective. It may seem crass, but there needs to be a better way of analyzing and classifying regime types around the world.
Thursday, October 16, 2008
Regime Types and its Ambiguous Category
What describes best the regime types? As many political scientists have identified, the modern definition of regime may be described as a set of ideas, interests and institutions inherited by a state. Different states have inherited different kinds of regimes based on their cultural-social values, and the influence of their political leaders. After the breakdown of
Perhaps the democracy is already well known form of the regime, and there is no need of further explanation in identifying itself,
On the other hand; however, as
Another point the authors make is that the nature of leadership, which is vastly different among the regimes. Unlike democracy, totalitarian strongly imposes rules to people because they are either popular or dangerous in behaviors. Post-totalitarian often rule through an established schedule within party, while authoritarian might rule with a small group of people with expected behavior. The sultanian does not provide any legal rationality, but often are forceful and deserving by system.
Leaving the corporatist type of regime along with the democracy, the authors have made a big mistake because not every democratic country in the world is oligarchic and not even exactly same to each other. Every country, based on its political culture, has different type of regime. Even within the democratic regime type, virtually every democratic country has some kinds of differences on their governing styles. Therefore, under other types of regimes, there are plenty of differences beyond few similarities, which I think is most important factor to look for. Since there is no such unique formula to categorize the regimes in specific types, understanding the fundamental concept of different types of regimes and comparing and contrasting their characters to understand their nature is more important than the categorizing itself.
Implications of American Lens on US Foreign Policy
Mr. Zakaria posits this distinction, I believe, from a strong American platform. That is, all the qualifications that define constitutional liberalism as existing within a democracy are understood as American attributes. That is not to say that British, Canada, or other successful democracies in Western Europe do not exhibit these characteristics of constitutional liberalism. However, constitutional liberalism in a democracy can best be framed within the unique cultural and historical grounding on which America was formed.
The drafters of the constitution of the United States implanted liberal ideas of how democracy should work in their new republic. The oppression of the British crown instilled the idea of personal freedom in which the government should stay out of the business of its citizens. Jefferson studied Montesquieu and his theories of the separation of powers. John Adams used his knowledge of British rule to conclude that one sole legislative branch is too flaky, and is too much liable to the avarices of men. American constitutionalism, it seems, lends itself to the unique historical narrative which utilized the ideas European predecessors. Accordingly, an American’s conception of democracy is inherently tied into the ideas of constitutional liberalism.
What does this say about Mr. Zakaria’s article? My answers are based mainly on Mr. Zakaria’s conclusion at the end of the article. First, he is right in drawing a distinction between democracy as the foundation of government and constitutional liberalism as its structure; these are distinct characteristic. Second, however, Mr. Zakaria unreasonably relates the lack of constitutional liberalism in supposedly democratic regimes as a threat to Democracy itself and American foreign policy. This, I think, taps a pervasive problem in American foreign policy that implies America must make the world a peaceful place through the propagation of democracy and the gradual movement to liberal constitutionalism. America should not be the arbiter of what good government is, nor should it take on the heavy burden of making sure other peoples around the world are living under liberal constitutionalism. Though his analysis is strong, I feel that his implications are too broad.